Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 2.978462 3.310975 3.670608 4.089333 4.564533 5.088292 5.710944
2025-03-16 2.449733 2.887329 3.393878 4.026807 4.800929 5.722572 6.911337
2025-03-23 2.209161 2.722041 3.347424 4.173038 5.244607 6.602447 8.475784
2025-03-30 1.973604 2.517658 3.208747 4.162043 5.460217 7.191611 9.718529
2025-04-06 1.782771 2.341087 3.075078 4.126018 5.617491 7.697341 10.887462
2025-04-13 1.567771 2.107327 2.836629 3.913126 5.493757 7.781312 11.440264
2025-04-20 1.458782 2.005996 2.766072 3.922279 5.678591 8.317299 12.722260
2025-04-27 1.386425 1.947983 2.748412 4.001588 5.968642 9.033734 14.370816
2025-05-04 1.322002 1.894718 2.730830 4.075542 6.252404 9.763954 16.131131
2025-05-11 1.257061 1.834603 2.696463 4.117410 6.484636 10.429390 17.862134
2025-05-18 1.196225 1.775445 2.657650 4.146378 6.694643 11.074529 19.637821
2025-05-25 1.109264 1.669393 2.537070 4.029913 6.643893 11.255599 20.560506
2025-06-01 1.042613 1.592321 2.459283 3.982055 6.714259 11.672655 22.026818
2025-06-08 0.981430 1.519977 2.384001 3.932002 6.775591 12.079761 23.535654
2025-06-15 0.962526 1.514947 2.418974 4.076487 7.206403 13.237152 26.796962
2025-06-22 0.917218 1.462819 2.370329 4.066246 7.342915 13.830226 28.921314
2025-06-29 0.871527 1.407015 2.311234 4.031274 7.426675 14.323482 30.895126
2025-07-06 0.801616 1.305623 2.166036 3.824041 7.148787 14.030549 30.967718
2025-07-13 0.770957 1.270564 2.136024 3.832955 7.308627 14.689113 33.459755
2025-07-20 0.752596 1.255896 2.141412 3.910169 7.616395 15.707244 37.035436
2025-07-27 0.734517 1.240537 2.144276 3.982163 7.919634 16.751854 40.875926
2025-08-03 0.713232 1.218058 2.132286 4.022919 8.158532 17.676028 44.566434
2025-08-10 0.691601 1.193660 2.114998 4.051116 8.371796 18.564918 48.331692